Who will take it home? Raila or Ruto?

According to preliminary results from Tuesday’s election, veteran opposition figure Raila Odinga and deputy president William Ruto are in a close contest for the nation’s highest office position.

Considering that only a little more than a third of polling places have reported results, analysts think it is still too early to declare a winner. The contenders would need to receive at least 25% of the votes from 24 of Kenya’s 47 counties and more than 50% of the total votes cast in order to win the election in the first round. A 30-day run-off election would be held if there is no clear winner.

This year’s voter turnout has been appalling. Only roughly 56% of the 22 million registered voters had cast ballots an hour before the polls closed. Although the electoral board has not released final turnout data, preliminary estimates point to a decline from 2017, when 78% of the country’s 19 million registered voters cast ballots.

A cost-of-living problem and skyrocketing unemployment rates have made life difficult for many Kenyan households as the elections approach. According to analysts, people are disenchanted with the broken promises of previous administrations. Young people, who make up 75% of the population of the country, decided not to vote in the elections this year, with an increasing number of them claiming they do not view elections as a means of bringing about change.

Public confidence in the electoral commission’s capacity to conduct a reliable poll has also been weakened by its turbulent electoral past. Over the past three election cycles, the results have been disputed, and a new election was required in 2017 due to polling differences.

Politicians have been forced to base their campaigns on the urgent economic problems the nation is currently facing in order to win over a disgruntled electorate. This has caused a change away from the nation’s traditional ethnic and personality-driven politics and towards issue-based campaigns.

Odinga has pledged to provide everyone with access to high-quality healthcare and social assistance, including a Ksh. 6000 monthly stipend for the neediest households. Along with fighting corruption, he also promised to revitalize manufacturing and agriculture. Ruto has run on a platform of empowering the underprivileged economically and has pledged to establish a fund for startup companies.

Results are starting to trickle in amid intense excitement and relatively mild stress. Although the electoral board has seven days to publish the results, it is anticipated that the victor will be announced within that week. Odinga and Ruto concurred that they would accept the result.

Up to this point, we hope the electoral body will do their part and announce the legitimate winner eventually to the millions of Kenyans who spend sleepless nights and restless days glued on televisions. And may peace prevail.

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